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Analysis/Comment Last Updated: Jan 25, 2008 - 10:06: AM

Click here for current Main News page. Our news service system has been upgraded
Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: US Stimulus Package, Interest Cuts should help but Crisis Continues
The $150 billion dollar US stimulus package announced by the Bush Administration and Democratic leaders, coupled with interest rate cuts implemented by the Federal Reserve, should help avert an economic debacle but the danger of recession continues. 
Jan 25, 2008 - 7:41: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: The Federal Reserve needs more than a new Communications Strategy
Ben Bernanke has indicated that the Federal Reserve will redouble its efforts to communicate clearly about the outlook for the economy and monetary policy.
Jan 15, 2008 - 8:20: AM

Analysis/Comment
The Irish Mind and the Knowledge Economy: Should we bank everything on fuzzy leprechaunic political dreams?
The Irish Mind. An abundant supply of that rare commodity you'll need to bring your business to peak performance, according to IDA Ireland. However, there is a danger that €8.2 billion of Exchequer funds on the Knowledge Economy, will be spent on fuzzy leprechaunic political dreams.
Jan 13, 2008 - 3:34: PM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: Why the US Trade Deficit matters?
On Friday, the US Commerce Department will release data for the November 2007 trade deficit. The consensus estimate is $60 billion, up from $57.8 billion in October. It may be a bit larger or smaller, but either way, it comes to about 5 percent of GDP, That is an enormous drag on national income and growth, and has corrosive consequences for our children’s future.
Jan 9, 2008 - 9:34: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: US Recession Watch, the Jobs Report and Fed Policy
The holiday season did not bring a lot of good economic news. Weak retail sales, the flagging fortunes of automakers and declining industrial production have pundits guessing whether the US economy has entered a recession and, if so, how long will it last.
Jan 4, 2008 - 3:52: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: Business as Usual: the Energy Bill, Subprime Mess, and Recession Watch
The stock market remains unsettled, as the nation’s economic problems grow. Washington from the White House to Capitol Hill to the Federal Reserve gives us lots of bustle but no truly comforting action.
Dec 21, 2007 - 1:50: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: China’s Dragon does not flinch and Bernanke’s Toothless Dog
This week, the big news continues to center around the dollar and the credit crisis. Secretary Henry Paulson returns from China empty handed on the dollar-yuan exchange rate, and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is stunned when an interest rate cut sinks the stock market. 
Dec 14, 2007 - 6:25: AM

Analysis/Comment
Cabinet decision to defer Irish ministerial pay hikes until 2009 seen as empty gesture after weeks of controversy
The Cabinet's decision on Tuesday to defer a pay award for top Irish politicians for a year has been greeted as an empty gesture after weeks of controversy which saw ministers getting a special pay hike of 14-15%, as well as all retirees; the Dublin City Manager getting a 36% hike and the the Secretary-General of the Taoiseach's Department who has got one of the biggest hikes - 25%.
Dec 12, 2007 - 7:29: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: President Bush's Mortgage Program and Rumblings from Europe about the Dollar
This week, the big news may be the shoes that are yet to drop: President Bush's program to help distressed homeowners and halt the free fall in housing and subprime securities markets, and the continued carping from the Europeans about the decline in the dollar.
Dec 7, 2007 - 4:24: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: Avoiding a US Recession
Recessions are not inevitable adjustments built into the clockwork of a modern economy.
Nov 28, 2007 - 5:31: AM

Analysis/Comment
Christmas Fear and a proposed German Minimum Wage - Prof Hans-Werner Sinn
As Christmas approaches pressure mounts to resolve the minimum wage issue in Germany. The conservatives weaken and agree to a comprehensive minimum wage of €7.50 an hour. This scenario is my Christmas fear.
Nov 27, 2007 - 7:00: AM

Analysis/Comment
Nine months after ISEQ record highs, Irish shares likely to underperform other markets for sometime
February 21, 2007, nine months ago today, the ISEQ index rose to an-all time high of 10,041 and the Financial sub-index rose to 18,098.
Nov 21, 2007 - 10:44: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: An Emergency Interest Rate Cut? and The Week Ahead: Forecasts for the Weeks of November 26 and December 3 (preliminary)
Tuesday, stock markets were lifted on speculation that Ben Bernanke will call an emergency meeting at the Federal Reserve to further cut interest rates. This would be a remarkable turnaround for Chairman Bernanke.
Nov 20, 2007 - 3:48: PM

Analysis/Comment
Germany: How the Upswing Came About - Six Hypotheses - - Prof. Hans-Werner Sinn
In the recent forecast of the economic research institutes, the German upswing will continue next year but will clearly weaken. The soft American economy is casting its long shadows.
Nov 16, 2007 - 5:19: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: The Limits of US Federal Reserve Policy
Federal Reserve policymakers and critics labor under false assumptions. Hawks believe tighter credit can stave off inflation. Doves hew to lower rates to mitigate risks of recession.
Nov 12, 2007 - 8:53: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: US Stock Prices and the Trade Deficit; Forecasts for the Weeks of November 12 and November 19
Wall Street and American capitalism are suffering a crisis of confidence. Stock markets are in turmoil, because US banks are taking record losses from foolish bets on subprime mortgages, the dollar is tanking against the euro and some other currencies, and oil prices are rocketing.
Nov 9, 2007 - 7:15: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: US Economy adds 166,000 employees in October; While ranks of the Self Employed fall: Credit Crisis grows, Bernanke’s credibility suffers
Today, the US Labor Department reported that its survey of employers indicates the economy added 166,000 payroll jobs in October, after posting a 96,000 gain in September. 
Nov 2, 2007 - 4:29: PM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: The Fed's Misstep, and Forecasts for the Weeks of November 5 and November 1
The big news this week was not the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut federal funds rate from 4.75 to 4.5 percent, rather the notable event was the Fed's indication it would not likely cut rates further.
Nov 2, 2007 - 10:48: AM

Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: The Falling US Dollar and the Stubborn US Trade Deficit
Since October 2006, the euro has risen about 13 percent against the dollar but don’t expect dramatic improvements in the US trade deficit until China and other Asian exporters permit their currencies to rise significantly too.
Nov 1, 2007 - 5:20: AM

Analysis/Comment
Where is the Outrage? Gombeenism thrives at home while in Paris, OECD staff work on proposals for Irish public service reform
Irish Government Chief Whip Tom Kitt told the RTE Morning Ireland radio programme earlier this week that the expansion of the number of parliamentary committees to twenty-three was necessary to respond to the demands of the modern world. Twenty additional researchers will be employed and only a fool would expect any change  in the 1920's era ramshackle system of limited accountability and responsibility. Meanwhile,  in Paris, staff of the OECD, the think-tank for 30 governments of mainly industrialised countries including Ireland, are working on proposals for reform of the Irish public service.
Oct 27, 2007 - 5:47: AM

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Latest Headlines
News
German Ifo Business Climate Index worsens again in August; Current situation is still seen as slightly positive
Markets News Tuesday: European markets open down; Oil price at $115 in New York; EUR/USD rate below $1.47
CRH reports 10% fall in pre-tax profits in the first half of 2008
International Monetary Fund cuts its forecasts for 2008 and 2009 world economic growth
European Central Bank lending to Irish financial institutions was €44.1 billion in July - the highest since the credit crisis began
Irish consumers spent €2.6 billion more on alcohol and cigarettes than food in 2007; Household spending on alcohol more than 3 times EU27 average
Blackrock International Land reports pre-tax losses of almost €8m for the first half 2008
Blackrock International Land reports pre-tax losses of almost €8m for the first half 2008
Tuesday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - August 26, 2008
Kerry Group reports profit before tax rise of 0.2% in first half of 2008
Report by the Irish Small Firms Association says small businesses in Ireland lose on average €793 million per annum through absenteeism
Markets News Afternoon: Stocks fall in Europe and US
AIB cuts its 2 & 3 year Irish fixed mortgage rates to 5.2%
US existing-home sales rose in July from a 10-year low as falling prices helped stabilise demand and the number of homes for sale jumped to a record
Irish Consumer Sentiment Index rose slightly in August
Irish commercial property investment at virtual standstill in recent months; Irish investment in UK property plunged in first six months of 2008
Markets News Monday: European stocks down; Oil price close to $115 in New York; Dublin market up
Glanbia announces acquisition of Illinois based Optimum Nutrition - a manufacturer of nutritional supplements for the sports sector - for $315 million
Monday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - August 25, 2008
Global economy is likely to recover in 2010 but economic growth may remain sluggish for several years
European Central Bank President Trichet says financial markets remain under stress
UK GDP fell to zero in the Second Quarter of 2008; Annual growth at 1.4% - the weakest since 1992
Irish Retail Sales volume plunges by 5.2% in year to June
World Bank delegation arrives in Georgia; Investors quit Russia; Russian economy dependent on energy exports and state-run large enterprises
Markets News Friday: European stocks rise; Oil price above $121 in New York
Universities in the European Union seriously lag their US counterparts; America accounts for 40% of global spending on higher education
Irish property-related lending increased at its lowest rate since 1997 in June
Irish directors’ pay rises by 12% in 2007; Total remuneration up by over 30% - Fixed salaries for executives in the US up 4%; European rises in range 3.5% to 7.5%
Friday Newspaper Review - Irish Business News and International Stories - - August 22, 2008
Markets News Afternoon: Oil price surges almost $6 to above $121 in New York
Analysis/Comment
Dr. Peter Morici: US Stimulus Package, Interest Cuts should help but Crisis Continues
Dr. Peter Morici: The Federal Reserve needs more than a new Communications Strategy
The Irish Mind and the Knowledge Economy: Should we bank everything on fuzzy leprechaunic political dreams?
Dr. Peter Morici: Why the US Trade Deficit matters?
Dr. Peter Morici: US Recession Watch, the Jobs Report and Fed Policy
Dr. Peter Morici: Business as Usual: the Energy Bill, Subprime Mess, and Recession Watch
Dr. Peter Morici: China’s Dragon does not flinch and Bernanke’s Toothless Dog
Cabinet decision to defer Irish ministerial pay hikes until 2009 seen as empty gesture after weeks of controversy
Dr. Peter Morici: President Bush's Mortgage Program and Rumblings from Europe about the Dollar
Dr. Peter Morici: Avoiding a US Recession
Christmas Fear and a proposed German Minimum Wage - Prof Hans-Werner Sinn
Nine months after ISEQ record highs, Irish shares likely to underperform other markets for sometime
Dr. Peter Morici: An Emergency Interest Rate Cut? and The Week Ahead: Forecasts for the Weeks of November 26 and December 3 (preliminary)
Germany: How the Upswing Came About - Six Hypotheses - - Prof. Hans-Werner Sinn
Dr. Peter Morici: The Limits of US Federal Reserve Policy
Dr. Peter Morici: US Stock Prices and the Trade Deficit; Forecasts for the Weeks of November 12 and November 19
Dr. Peter Morici: US Economy adds 166,000 employees in October; While ranks of the Self Employed fall: Credit Crisis grows, Bernanke’s credibility suffers
Dr. Peter Morici: The Fed's Misstep, and Forecasts for the Weeks of November 5 and November 1
Dr. Peter Morici: The Falling US Dollar and the Stubborn US Trade Deficit
Where is the Outrage? Gombeenism thrives at home while in Paris, OECD staff work on proposals for Irish public service reform
Dr. Peter Morici: Why Bernanke should Cut Rates and Forecasts for the Weeks of October 22 and October 29
Dr. Peter Morici: Crafting a US Response to Global Warming
Dr. Peter Morici: US Banks offer Plan to calm Credit Markets
World loses forest area size of Ireland annually; Accounts for 18% of CO2 emissions - exceeding entire global transport sector
US Economy adds 110,000 Jobs in September--Confirms Morici's forecast
Dr Peter Morici: Why the Europeans should take their Complaints about the Weak US Dollar to Beijing; Economic Forecasts Weeks Oct 8th and 15th
Dr Peter Morici: UAW - GM Pact leaves GM at Cost Disadvantage
ECB may cut rates in 2008 but as the Chinese say - be careful what you wish for
Opportunities in the “chilled” US Commercial Real Estate Market
Dr Peter Morici: Democratic Accountability and the Doha Round